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The Miami Heat (6-12) will attempt to break a five-game losing streak when they host the Sacramento Kings (8-10) on Saturday, January 30, 2021 at American Airlines Arena as 5-point favorites. The game airs at 8:00 PM ET on SUN. The over/under is set at 224.5 in the matchup.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of January 30, 2021, 6:42 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
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Injury Report as of January 30
Heat:
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Maurice Harkless: Day To Day (Thigh),
Goran Dragic: Out (Groin),
Avery Bradley: Day To Day (Knee),
Tyler Herro: Day To Day (Neck),
Chris Silva: Out (Hip),
Andre Iguodala: Day To Day (Neck),
Jimmy Butler: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Meyers Leonard: Out (Shoulder)
Kings:
Nemanja Bjelica: Out (Back),
DaQuan Jeffries: Out (Left ankle),
Jahmi’us Ramsey: Out (Left groin)
Heat and Kings Records ATS
- Miami’s record against the spread is 6-12 this season.
- When favored by at least 5 points, the Heat are 1-3 against the spread in 2020-21.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the set over/under in 50% of its games this season (9/18).
- Sacramento holds a losing record ATS this season with eight wins and 10 losses ATS.
- For the second time this season, the Kings are at least a 5-point underdog, where they have a record of 0-1 against the spread.
- 33.3% of Sacramento’s 18 games this season have fell below the over/under.
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Scoring Trends
- Miami’s games this year have gone over the point total for Saturday’s matchup point total (224.5 points) in 33.3% of opportunities (six out of 18 matchups).
- In 66.7% of Sacramento’s games this season (12 of 18), the total points scored was more than Saturday’s 224.5-point over/under.
- This season the average total for Heat games is 218 points, 6.5 fewer than the over/under of 224.5 points for this contest.
- The over/under for this matchup is 9.7 points fewer than the average over/under in Kings’ games this season (234.2 points).
- The average implied total for the Heat this season is 113.7 points, 1.3 fewer points than their implied total of 115 points in Saturday’s game.
- This season, Miami has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (115) five times.
- The Kings’ average implied point total on the season (116.7 points) is 6.7 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (110 points).
- This season, Sacramento has scored more than this game’s implied total of 110 points 10 times.
- The Heat are the NBA’s 27th-highest scoring team (106.2 PPG), while the Kings allow their opponents the most points per game (120.6) in the league.
- The Heat have a -102-point scoring differential on the season (-5.6 per game). The Kings have also been out-scored by opponents on average this year (-124 total points, -6.9 per game).
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring (20.1 points per game), rebounding (9.1 per game) and assisting (5.6 per game).
- Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 35.5, 0.7 higher than his season average of 34.8.
- The Heat are led by Duncan Robinson from long distance. He knocks down 3.4 shots from deep per game.
- Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots higher than his season average of 3.4.
- Miami’s blocks leader is Kelly Olynyk, who averages 0.8 per game. Jimmy Butler leads the team averaging 2.2 steals a game.
- Olynyk’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.3 blocks lower than his season average of 0.8.
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Kings Leaders
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- The Kings go-to guy, De’Aaron Fox, leads the team in both scoring (20.8 points per game) and assists (6.1 assists per game).
- Fox’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 29.5, 0.6 lower than his season average of 30.1.
- When it comes to rebounds, Marvin Bagley III is the Sacramento leader with 8.0 per game.
- Bagley’s rebounding prop total for the game is posted at 7.5 boards, 0.5 rebounds less than his season average of 8.0.
- Buddy Hield is tops from three-point range for the Kings, hitting 4.0 threes per game.
- Hield’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots lower than his season average of 4.0.
- Nobody on Sacramento grabs more steals than Fox (1.3 per game) or blocks more shots than Richaun Holmes (1.6 per game).
- Holmes’ blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.
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